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Callum Thomas

Weekly Macro Themes - 11 February 2022

Here's a brief overview of the topics and charts covered in the latest edition of the Weekly Macro Themes report. I send this report out late Friday NZ time and aim to cover a good mix of macro/ideas/risk topics, across a global macro/multi-asset universe.

This week I covered the following topics/ideas:


1. Fed Thoughts: The Fed by avoiding one risk (risk of hiking too early), traded into a different risk (risk of hiking too late, having to play catch up) – and now faces the challenge of navigating this reality. We outline the key moving parts.


2. Credit: Changing the view on credit given technicals, value, policy, macro picture.


3. EM ex-Asia: A review of EM ex-Asia equities following a period of strong relative performance (vs EM Asia) and in particular LatAm equities.


4. US Small Caps: A look at how things sit following the further weakness in absolute and relative terms for US small cap equities.


5. Global Small Caps: Though diverse in relative performance trends across the major chunks of global equities, global small vs large look oversold and undervalued...



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About the Weekly Macro Themes report

The "Weekly Macro Themes" is part of our institutional offering aimed at multi-asset and macro-driven portfolio managers and strategists. The report takes a chart-driven macro, fundamental and multi-factor approach; a powerful combination of cross-asset idea generation for portfolio managers, charts on key global macro trends, analysis on portfolio risks, asset allocation research, and innovative indicators, in a format that delivers a balance of brevity and depth so that you can efficiently assimilate the insights.

Also part of the service is the monthly market cycle guidebook, global cross asset market monitor, and quarterly strategy pack.

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