Do you believe the oil hype?
The geopolitical backdrop in the Middle East is fluid to say the least, and this fluidity has helped the black fluid undertake what is...
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Topdown Charts
Nov 7, 20171 min read
VIDEO: Implied Correlations and the Death of RO-RO
In this video we look at the CBOE Implied Correlation Index and the general evolution of correlations for the S&P500 and what it means...
91 views0 comments
Callum Thomas
Nov 4, 20172 min read
ChartBrief 163 - Key charts on US Margin Debt
NYSE Margin Debt is an important indicator for US equities as it both reflects sentiment and tracks the amount of leverage and buying...
588 views0 comments
Topdown Charts
Nov 3, 20172 min read
Weekly Macro Themes - 3 Nov 2017
Here's a brief preview of the topics and charts covered in the latest edition of the Weekly Macro Themes report. To read more and see the...
168 views0 comments
Callum Thomas
Oct 27, 20172 min read
ChartBrief 162 - Stockmarket Sentiment Surges
Funny things can happen when you mix human psychology with greed and constant stimulus. The seemingly straight-line march upward in the...
227 views0 comments
Topdown Charts
Oct 20, 20172 min read
Weekly Macro Themes - 20 Oct 2017
Here's a brief preview of the topics and charts covered in the latest edition of the Weekly Macro Themes report. To read more and see the...
180 views0 comments
Callum Thomas
Oct 18, 20172 min read
ChartBrief 161 - Implied Correlation and SKEW
We hear a lot about the VIX and how volatility is low, but we rarely hear about the VIX's siblings: the CBOE SKEW Index and the CBOE...
380 views0 comments
Callum Thomas
Oct 16, 20172 min read
Weekly Sentiment Survey: Red Flag
This article reviews the data from the latest weekly sentiment survey we conduct over on Twitter. The survey measures respondents'...
129 views0 comments
Topdown Charts
Oct 4, 20171 min read
VIDEO: Boring Bears
In this video we look at a section of the report, curiously titled "Boring Bears". Specifically, the video walks you through a couple of...
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Callum Thomas
Sep 28, 20172 min read
ChartBrief 154 - Seasonality update: What doesn't go down must go up...
As I write this article the S&P500 is up 1.4% month to date, with a max drawdown of -0.6% - which makes for a relatively joyful...
180 views0 comments
Callum Thomas
Sep 26, 20172 min read
ChartBrief 153 - Sentiment update: Euphoria Heights
The preliminary September reading of The Euphoriameter showed a rebound from August to a fresh new 13-year high. All 3 components...
218 views0 comments
Callum Thomas
Sep 25, 20172 min read
Cyclicals vs Defensives PB Ratio at a Cyclical High?
I was running some analysis on cyclical vs defensive sectors and decided to take a look at the price to book ratios. While we can argue...
411 views0 comments
Callum Thomas
Sep 20, 20172 min read
ChartBrief 150 - Passive Quantitative Tightening
As expected (by me and pretty much everyone else) the Fed held interest rates unchanged and announced that it would commence its balance...
1,038 views0 comments
Callum Thomas
Sep 20, 20172 min read
ChartBrief 149 - A New Extreme in Volatility
The last time I reviewed this chart I pondered the possibility of a turning point or the start of a regime change for volatility... this...
616 views0 comments
Callum Thomas
Sep 17, 20171 min read
VIDEO: Weekly S&P500 ChartStorm 17 Sep 2017
Followers on Twitter will be familiar with the weekly S&P500 #ChartStorm - a selection of charts from around the web on US equity...
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Callum Thomas
Sep 11, 20172 min read
Economic noise striking a cautionary tone
This article discusses an unusual but interesting indicator I designed to gauge the background economic noise emanating from an economy...
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Callum Thomas
Sep 5, 20171 min read
ChartBrief 142 - September Seasonality Statistics
For us southern hemisphere dwellers, September brings spring, but for the S&P500 September brings sinister seasonal statistics. Over the...
223 views0 comments
Callum Thomas
Sep 4, 20172 min read
The implications of low implied correlations
In this article we take another look at a somewhat obscure indicator "implied correlations". The Implied Correlation Index comes from...
882 views0 comments
Callum Thomas
Aug 30, 20172 min read
ChartBrief 138 - Euphoria Peak
The August reading of the "Euphoriameter" showed a small but noticeable move down from what was a more than 12-year high, certainly a...
111 views0 comments
Callum Thomas
Aug 19, 20172 min read
ChartBrief 134 - Volatility regime change?
You have to look very closely at the chart, but our alternative measure of volatility has turned up... i.e. the rolling annual count of...
282 views0 comments
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