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Callum Thomas
Jul 5, 20172 min read
US High Yield Credit Spreads Low - as they should be?
Most people are probably aware that US High Yield credit spreads are trading at the bottom end of the range - almost 1 standard deviation...
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Callum Thomas
Jul 4, 20172 min read
ChartCritic 1 - Property Bubbles on Bloomberg
The first edition of the ChartCritic blog series looks at a chart from a Bloomberg View article by Ben Carlson of Ritholtz Wealth...
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Callum Thomas
Jul 4, 20172 min read
ChartBrief 93 - Crude Oil Futures and Seasons
Following up on a previous post on Crude Oil tactical indicators, it's timely to check in on a couple of charts after about a 5-point...
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Callum Thomas
Jul 3, 20172 min read
ChartBrief 92 - The problem with PMIs
So what's the problem with the PMIs? I could talk about a couple of things here, such as the divergence within emerging and developing...
99 views0 comments
Callum Thomas
Jul 3, 20172 min read
Investor Sentiment Snapshot: Divergences
The latest weekly investor sentiment poll on twitter showed up a couple of interesting divergences that may offer clues on the next steps...
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Callum Thomas
Jul 2, 20172 min read
ChartBrief 91 - Surprising surge in Chinese exports will prolong the rebound
The world's second largest economy has reported a number of interesting datapoints for those willing to dig a little to get to the...
86 views0 comments
Topdown Charts
Jun 30, 20172 min read
Weekly Macro Themes - 30 June 2017
Here's a brief preview of the topics and charts covered in the latest edition of the Weekly Macro Themes report. To read more and see the...
191 views0 comments
Callum Thomas
Jun 26, 20172 min read
The big PE10 at the small end of town
A number of analysts and commentators have been discussing the increasingly high levels of the "Shiller PE", also known as CAPE or PE10,...
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Topdown Charts
Jun 25, 20171 min read
VIDEO: When is enough enough for the S&P500?
In this video we discuss the outlook for interest rates and the S&P500. The video focuses on a topic from a recent edition of the Weekly...
93 views0 comments
Callum Thomas
Jun 23, 20172 min read
ChartBrief 88 - Global flash PMI enters into a downtrend, what's next?
The latest round of flash manufacturing PMIs saw the "global composite" that we put together fall -0.40 to 53.8 which places it down...
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Topdown Charts
Jun 23, 20172 min read
Weekly Macro Themes - 23 June 2017
Here's a brief preview of the topics and charts covered in the latest edition of the Weekly Macro Themes report. To read more and see the...
250 views0 comments
Callum Thomas
Jun 21, 20172 min read
ChartBrief 87 - 2 Crude Oil tactical indicators to keep front of mind
In the latest edition of the Weekly Macro Themes report we talked about the likelihood of further short-term downside in the oil price...
304 views0 comments
Callum Thomas
Jun 20, 20172 min read
Fed policy still in the "sweet spot" for stocks
Whether it's "3 steps and a stumble" or just the fact that the Fed is thinking and talking about going from QE to QT, there is a growing...
117 views0 comments
Callum Thomas
Jun 19, 20172 min read
ChartBrief 86 - The rise of consumer sentiment
We decided to take a closer look at a seldom talked about indicator, the Ipsos Consumer Sentiment indexes (available exclusively through...
102 views0 comments
Topdown Charts
Jun 18, 20171 min read
VIDEO: Gold price outlook - breakout or fakeout?
In this video we discuss the outlook for the gold price. The video focuses on a piece in a recent edition of the Weekly Macro Themes...
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Callum Thomas
Jun 15, 20172 min read
ChartBrief 85 - Are we all wrong about volatility?
A number of commentators have pointed out the divergence between economic policy uncertainty indexes and the VIX or equity volatility. ...
169 views0 comments
Callum Thomas
Jun 13, 20172 min read
ChartBrief 84 - Know this chart, know the Fed
With the FOMC meeting underway at the time of writing, it's worth going through one of my favorite #FedCharts - and it is one that in my...
242 views0 comments
Callum Thomas
Jun 12, 20172 min read
To understand Bank stocks, watch property prices
In this article we look at how global property price trends influence financial sector stocks, and perhaps more interestingly - what the...
109 views0 comments
Topdown Charts
Jun 11, 20171 min read
VIDEO: New Zealand property - bubble?
In this video we look at a couple of indicators that show the New Zealand property market as extremely overvalued against history. ...
60 views0 comments
Topdown Charts
Jun 9, 20172 min read
Weekly Macro Themes - 9 June 2017
Here's a brief preview of the topics and charts covered in the latest edition of the Weekly Macro Themes report. To read more and see the...
265 views0 comments
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