ChartBrief 105 - The VIX is at a Seasonal Turning Point
The topic of seasonality is a controversial one among investors. Some swear by it, referring to studies that present evidence for a...
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Callum Thomas
Jul 11, 20172 min read
ChartBrief 104 - Optimism running high on the US economy
The June round of economic confidence surveys on the US economy is basically done and the results show optimism is still running high. I...
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Callum Thomas
Jul 11, 20171 min read
ChartBrief 103 - Global Economic Leading Indicators
The latest round of OECD Composite Leading Indicators showed some interesting results country-by-country, but one view we use when...
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Callum Thomas
Jul 10, 20172 min read
ChartBrief 102 - China inflation surprises, commodities, and EM
The latest inflation figures out of China weren't much to talk about on the face of it, with CPI at 1.5% yoy in June and PPI at 5.5% -...
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Callum Thomas
Jul 9, 20172 min read
ChartBrief 101 - Fundamental sentiment and clues from the bond market
The latest weekly equity (and bonds) sentiment poll I take on Twitter has produced some interesting results this week. I have done this...
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Callum Thomas
Jul 9, 20172 min read
ChartBrief 100 - Emerging Markets vs Developed Markets
Well it's ChartBrief number 100 and what better way to mark the milestone with a look at a milestone in the emergence of emerging markets....
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Callum Thomas
Jul 8, 20171 min read
ChartBrief 99 - Reflation Futures Positioning Resets
The latest round of COT futures positioning data confirms a very interesting pattern that we have observed over the past year. There has...
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Callum Thomas
Jul 7, 20172 min read
ChartBrief 98 - China and Copper Crossroads
A few weeks ago I talked about commodities being at a cross roads, and it's particularly true for this commodity. Copper has been locked...
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Callum Thomas
Jul 7, 20171 min read
ChartBrief 97 - Rising Inequality in the S&P500
When you say the words 'rising inequality' it raises all sorts of connotations and thoughts, but in this ChartBrief we look at a peculiar...
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Callum Thomas
Jul 5, 20171 min read
ChartBrief 96 - The Euphoriameter Hits a Post-crisis High
The "Euphoriameter" has hit a new post-crisis high in June, indicating increasing levels of euphoria among investors. The indicator...
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Callum Thomas
Jul 4, 20172 min read
ChartBrief 95 - Emerging Market Bond Flows
Emerging market bonds have come under pressure along with the rest of the bond market as a sort of Taper 2.0 has hit the market [ECB...
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Callum Thomas
Jul 4, 20172 min read
ChartBrief 94 - Bond breadth breakdown
One of the key indicators we track in our bond strategy analysis is global sovereign bond market breadth. This simply captures the...
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Callum Thomas
Jul 4, 20172 min read
ChartBrief 93 - Crude Oil Futures and Seasons
Following up on a previous post on Crude Oil tactical indicators, it's timely to check in on a couple of charts after about a 5-point...
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Callum Thomas
Jul 3, 20172 min read
ChartBrief 92 - The problem with PMIs
So what's the problem with the PMIs? I could talk about a couple of things here, such as the divergence within emerging and developing...
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Callum Thomas
Jul 2, 20172 min read
ChartBrief 91 - Surprising surge in Chinese exports will prolong the rebound
The world's second largest economy has reported a number of interesting datapoints for those willing to dig a little to get to the...
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Callum Thomas
Jun 28, 20172 min read
ChartBrief 90 - Institutional Investor Ambivalence
The latest State Street Investor Confidence Index [SSICI] readings show a relative ambivalence among global institutional investors. As...
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Callum Thomas
Jun 27, 20172 min read
ChartBrief 89 - The search for yield continues
If the amount of AUM in yield and income related ETFs is anything to go by, it would seem that the search for yield is alive and well. ...
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Callum Thomas
Jun 23, 20172 min read
ChartBrief 88 - Global flash PMI enters into a downtrend, what's next?
The latest round of flash manufacturing PMIs saw the "global composite" that we put together fall -0.40 to 53.8 which places it down...
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Callum Thomas
Jun 21, 20172 min read
ChartBrief 87 - 2 Crude Oil tactical indicators to keep front of mind
In the latest edition of the Weekly Macro Themes report we talked about the likelihood of further short-term downside in the oil price...
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Callum Thomas
Jun 19, 20172 min read
ChartBrief 86 - The rise of consumer sentiment
We decided to take a closer look at a seldom talked about indicator, the Ipsos Consumer Sentiment indexes (available exclusively through...
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