ChartBrief 124 - NYSE Margin Debt Update
The latest NYSE margin debt data was just released (for June - yes it gets released with a 1-month lag... which by the way reduces its...
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Callum Thomas
Jul 31, 20172 min read
ChartBrief 123 - Eurozone inflation upside
Most analysts continue to be too bearish on the Eurozone economy, and one area where there's potential for further upside surprise is...
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Callum Thomas
Jul 31, 20172 min read
ChartBrief 122 - China PMI bad and good
The official manufacturing PMI for China came in at 51.4 in July (51.5 expected, 51.7 previous), and the non-manufacturing PMI at 54.5...
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Callum Thomas
Jul 30, 20172 min read
Weekly Sentiment Poll: Fundamentals
The latest weekly sentiment poll on Twitter showed a couple of very interesting trends in sentiment and markets. As a reminder the...
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Callum Thomas
Jul 30, 20171 min read
ChartBrief 121 - Euphoriameter moves into a new phase
The Euphoriameter rose again in July, with the combined sentiment reading for the S&P500 lifted by rising forward PE ratios, a low VIX,...
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Callum Thomas
Jul 29, 20172 min read
ChartBrief 120 - The Credit Managers Index
The latest Credit Managers' Index data from the NACM showed another blip down by -1.5 points to a still respectable 54.6 in July. It...
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Callum Thomas
Jul 28, 20172 min read
ChartBrief 119 - THE DREADED TED SPREAD
The TED spread is something a lot of people were seemingly worried about a few months ago - at least that bearish crowd that provide the...
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Callum Thomas
Jul 27, 20172 min read
ChartBrief 118 - Volatility bets hanging on
As equity market implied volatility grinds lower it's worth throwing a couple more charts into the mix. In this post we look at ETF bets...
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Callum Thomas
Jul 26, 20172 min read
ChartBrief 117 - Global trade back to trend
The latest hard data on global trade continue to show a picture of global trade volumes returning to trend growth. We look at the CPB...
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Callum Thomas
Jul 25, 20172 min read
ChartBrief 116 - Institutional investor capitulation
The latest State Street Investor Confidence Index data for July showed a distinct sense of upside capitulation (by North American...
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Callum Thomas
Jul 25, 20171 min read
ChartBrief 115 - From Eurodoom to Euroboom
A couple of interesting data points on Europe have surfaced over the past couple of weeks which are worth highlighting. The first is the...
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Callum Thomas
Jul 24, 20172 min read
ChartBrief 114 - Global flash manufacturing PMI ticks up in July
The July round of flash manufacturing PMIs showed a slight but important rebound in the "global flash manufacturing PMI" (an indicator we...
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Callum Thomas
Jul 24, 20172 min read
ChartBrief 113 - This measure of US equity volatility is at a 22-year low
On a range of trends and topics these are unusual times we live in, and stock market volatility is no exception. As a matter of fact,...
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Callum Thomas
Jul 19, 20172 min read
ChartBrief 112 - The stockmarket season is changing
Following on from the popular post on the seasonal turning point for the VIX last week, here's an insight into seasonality for the S&P500...
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Callum Thomas
Jul 18, 20171 min read
ChartBrief 111 - The BOJ bond buying binge
As the Bank of Japan is set to meet this week to review monetary policy settings it's worth checking in on a couple of particularly...
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Callum Thomas
Jul 16, 20172 min read
ChartBrief 110 - Global inflation trends
Recently the main talk in markets was reflation, but about 2 years ago everyone was talking about deflation: why deflation was...
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Callum Thomas
Jul 15, 20172 min read
ChartBrief 109 - The big swings in commodity futures positioning
Here's a quick update on commodity futures positioning with the latest weekly CFTC COT report data. I've just picked out what I think...
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Callum Thomas
Jul 14, 20172 min read
ChartBrief 108 - Global bond market breakdown
After the big reflation reset in positioning, global bond markets are showing more signs of breaking down. We previously talked in detail...
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Callum Thomas
Jul 13, 20171 min read
ChartBrief 107 - China money growth monitor
The June money supply and credit stats out of China confirmed a couple of important trends that we've previously identified. The first...
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Callum Thomas
Jul 12, 20172 min read
ChartBrief 106 - Bank of Canada hikes rates
The Bank of Canada has joined the Fed in embarking on the road to monetary policy normalization, hiking the benchmark monetary policy...
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