Weekly Sentiment Survey: Confidence and Complacency
This article reviews the data from the latest weekly sentiment survey we conduct over on Twitter. The survey measures respondents'...
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Callum Thomas
Sep 28, 20172 min read
ChartBrief 154 - Seasonality update: What doesn't go down must go up...
As I write this article the S&P500 is up 1.4% month to date, with a max drawdown of -0.6% - which makes for a relatively joyful...
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Callum Thomas
Sep 26, 20172 min read
ChartBrief 153 - Sentiment update: Euphoria Heights
The preliminary September reading of The Euphoriameter showed a rebound from August to a fresh new 13-year high. All 3 components...
218 views0 comments
Callum Thomas
Sep 25, 20172 min read
ChartBrief 152 - Is the bond market wrong about the global economy?
The September round of flash manufacturing PMIs saw our composite "global flash PMI" rising +0.4pts to 54.7 - the same level it got to in...
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Callum Thomas
Sep 24, 20172 min read
Weekly Sentiment Survey: Bond Bears
This article reviews the data from the latest weekly sentiment survey we conduct over on Twitter. The survey measures respondents'...
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Callum Thomas
Sep 23, 20172 min read
ChartBrief 151 - These 2 incredible ETF AUM charts show what's at stake with QT1
The Fed's plan to normalize its balance sheet will begin to be put in place from next month. This is passive QT or Quantitative...
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Callum Thomas
Sep 20, 20172 min read
ChartBrief 150 - Passive Quantitative Tightening
As expected (by me and pretty much everyone else) the Fed held interest rates unchanged and announced that it would commence its balance...
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Callum Thomas
Sep 20, 20172 min read
ChartBrief 149 - A New Extreme in Volatility
The last time I reviewed this chart I pondered the possibility of a turning point or the start of a regime change for volatility... this...
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Callum Thomas
Sep 19, 20172 min read
ChartBrief 148 - Chinese property price boom has topped out
The August data showed a further slowing of China's property price boom, and early signs that a slowdown if not a downturn could be on...
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Callum Thomas
Sep 17, 20172 min read
Weekly Sentiment Survey: Bonds vs Stocks
This article reviews the data from the latest weekly sentiment survey we conduct over on Twitter. The survey measures respondents'...
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Callum Thomas
Sep 17, 20172 min read
ChartBrief 147 - Global consumer sentiment rises as global equities hit new highs
The September readings of the Ipsos Consumer Sentiment surveys showed the GDP weighted global composite rebounding firmly to new highs -...
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Callum Thomas
Sep 13, 20172 min read
ChartBrief 146 - Bond market sentiment pre-Fed meeting
The September FOMC meeting starts on Tuesday next week. Odds are good that they either announce QT (Quantitative Tightening) or flag its...
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Callum Thomas
Sep 11, 20172 min read
ChartBrief 145 - The Reemergence of Emerging Markets
Going through the latest numbers from the OECD Composite Leading Indicators data set I thought it would be worth sharing a couple of what...
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Callum Thomas
Sep 10, 20172 min read
Weekly Sentiment Survey: The Waiting Game
This article reviews the latest weekly sentiment survey we conduct over on Twitter. The survey measures respondents' equity and bond...
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Callum Thomas
Sep 9, 20173 min read
5 Charts on Chinese Inflation Trends
The August inflation numbers for China have just been released, so it's a good opportunity to dust off a number of the Chinese inflation...
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Callum Thomas
Sep 8, 20171 min read
ChartBrief 144 - Global policy uncertainty peaks and volatility troughs
A curious couple of trends are underway on the global stage. Global economic policy uncertainty appears to have peaked at an all time...
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Callum Thomas
Sep 6, 20172 min read
ChartBrief 143 - Canada hikes again - what does it mean for the "CANZ economies"?
The Bank of Canada hiked interest rates another 25bps to 1.00% today, surprising most. As noted last time (following the July interest...
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Callum Thomas
Sep 5, 20171 min read
ChartBrief 142 - September Seasonality Statistics
For us southern hemisphere dwellers, September brings spring, but for the S&P500 September brings sinister seasonal statistics. Over the...
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Callum Thomas
Sep 4, 20172 min read
ChartBrief 141 - Global manufacturing muddling through
The August round of manufacturing PMIs at an aggregate level showed a trend of muddling through. But it was a different type of muddling...
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Callum Thomas
Sep 3, 20172 min read
Weekly Sentiment Survey: Fundamental Optimism
This article reviews the latest weekly sentiment survey we conduct over on Twitter. The survey measures respondents' equity and bond...
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