ChartBrief 172 - When does "so good" become "too good"?
As the global economic cycle heats up, it's worth posing the question: when does "so good" become "too good"? It's a reference to one of...
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Callum Thomas
Dec 11, 20172 min read
ChartBrief 171 - Not Dot Com
I often look at sector composition trends for the S&P500, and one of the areas that is really standing out for me is the Information...
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Callum Thomas
Dec 6, 20172 min read
ChartBrief 170 - Economic Noise and the S&P500
This post looks at a curious and obscure indicator on the US economy which has in the past provided some clues on the outlook for the US...
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Callum Thomas
Dec 2, 20172 min read
ChartBrief 169 - December seasonality and the "Santa Claus rally"
The "Santa Claus rally" refers to the tendency for the S&P500 to do well in December, and specifically the last part of December. We can...
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Callum Thomas
Nov 28, 20172 min read
ChartBrief 168 - Institutional investors are selling global equities into strength
For the second month in a row the State Street Investor Confidence Index came in below 100 (the index uses State Street's global...
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Callum Thomas
Nov 27, 20172 min read
ChartBrief 167 - The Extraordinary Plunge in Stockmarket Volatility
Regular readers and followers on social media will be familiar with this chart, but what will probably be surprising is how this...
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Callum Thomas
Nov 16, 20172 min read
ChartBrief 166 - Bonds through the Cycle
The topic of the yield curve is one that has been coming up a lot lately, particularly as the 10s minus 2s spread has dipped to the...
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Callum Thomas
Nov 10, 20171 min read
ChartBrief 165 - Global Consumer Sentiment Update
The November readings of the Thomson Reuters/Ipsos Consumer Sentiment indexes revealed a picture of solid consumer confidence at a global...
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Callum Thomas
Nov 8, 20172 min read
ChartBrief 164 - Global Equity Valuation Charts
If it has felt like global equities have done well this year that's probably because they have. The MSCI All Countries World Index is up...
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Callum Thomas
Nov 4, 20172 min read
ChartBrief 163 - Key charts on US Margin Debt
NYSE Margin Debt is an important indicator for US equities as it both reflects sentiment and tracks the amount of leverage and buying...
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Callum Thomas
Oct 27, 20172 min read
ChartBrief 162 - Stockmarket Sentiment Surges
Funny things can happen when you mix human psychology with greed and constant stimulus. The seemingly straight-line march upward in the...
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Callum Thomas
Oct 18, 20172 min read
ChartBrief 161 - Implied Correlation and SKEW
We hear a lot about the VIX and how volatility is low, but we rarely hear about the VIX's siblings: the CBOE SKEW Index and the CBOE...
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Callum Thomas
Oct 16, 20172 min read
ChartBrief 160 - China and Reflation
Chinese PPI inflation picked up further in September, accelerating to 6.9% (6.3% previous, and consensus). It forms part of a trend that...
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Callum Thomas
Oct 16, 20172 min read
Weekly Sentiment Survey: Red Flag
This article reviews the data from the latest weekly sentiment survey we conduct over on Twitter. The survey measures respondents'...
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Callum Thomas
Oct 11, 20172 min read
ChartBrief 159 - Emerging Economies go from Doom to Boom
Quick update today on the latest round of OECD Composite Leading Indicators and an observation on monetary policy trends within emerging...
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Callum Thomas
Oct 10, 20172 min read
ChartBrief 158 - Bond Volatility at Rock Bottom
Just like with markets and economies, humans go through cycles of emotion and turning points - it's often the case that when someone hits...
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Callum Thomas
Oct 9, 20172 min read
ChartBrief 157 - Global Equity Breadth Check
In this article we look at a 3 key charts on global equities that utilize market breadth techniques. In this case we are looking at the...
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Callum Thomas
Oct 8, 20172 min read
Weekly Sentiment Survey: Bond Bears and Equity Bulls
This article reviews the data from the latest weekly sentiment survey we conduct over on Twitter. The survey measures respondents'...
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Callum Thomas
Oct 4, 20172 min read
ChartBrief 156 - Critical Signals in PMI-Bond Yield Divergences
First up is an update to the DM composite PMI vs US 10-year treasury chart - the final vs flash PMIs were revised up and that's now...
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Callum Thomas
Oct 3, 20172 min read
ChartBrief 155 - TED, HY Credit, VIX
Going through the various charts on credit strategy and risk pricing I noticed a couple of interesting and related charts that I thought...
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