ChartBrief #36 Peak Political Risk?
2016 was the year of political risk. From Trump to Brexit, China's ongoing economic and political transitions, India's demonetisation,...
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Callum Thomas
Dec 5, 20161 min read
ChartBrief #32 This is Not a Tantrum
US 10-year treasury yields are now up over 100bps since the bottom in July. Indeed, from July until November, US 10 year government bond...
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Callum Thomas
Nov 30, 20161 min read
ChartBrief #31 State Street Investor Confidence
The State Street Investor Confidence Index for November (just released) fell -0.3pts to 98.9, driven by a -4.6pt fall in the Asian index...
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Callum Thomas
Nov 23, 20162 min read
ChartBrief #30 'Tis The Season
With only a month to go until Christmas it’s time to talk the old chest nut of the Santa Claus rally. The “Santa Claus rally” refers to...
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Callum Thomas
Sep 28, 20162 min read
ChartBrief #12 Chinese Consumer
The Westpac/MNI Consumer Sentiment survey for September (just released) rose 3.7pts to 115.2. This is a volatile series that changes a...
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Callum Thomas
Sep 27, 20161 min read
ChartBrief #11 Euro Stoxx vs Ifo
Tuning out from the US presidential debate for a moment, another debate seems to be raging over in Europe. The debate between the stock...
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Callum Thomas
Sep 26, 20162 min read
ChartBrief #10 Equity Market Seasonality
I previously wrote about stock market seasonality just prior to the recent VIX flare-up, and now that things have calmed down again it's...
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Callum Thomas
Sep 23, 20162 min read
ChartBrief #9 China Business Surveys
While China no longer has a flash manufacturing PMI (like Japan/US/Eurozone) what it does have is the MNI China Business Sentiment...
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Callum Thomas
Sep 22, 20161 min read
ChartBrief #8 The Euphoriameter
What do you get when you combine a measure of fear vs complacency, a measure of low vs high valuations, and a measure of low vs high...
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Callum Thomas
Sep 22, 20162 min read
ChartBrief #7 CPB Global Trade Trends
This ChartBrief looks at a really useful monthly series on global trade volumes that the CPB (Netherlands Bureau for Economic Policy...
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Callum Thomas
Sep 22, 20161 min read
ChartBrief #6 CNY VS JPY REER
This ChartBrief looks at the REER (Real Effective Exchange Rate - from the BIS) for China and Japan. You probably have two questions; why...
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Callum Thomas
Sep 22, 20161 min read
ChartBrief #5 Global Industrial Production
Welcome to the 5th Topdown Charts ChartBrief, today we look at trends in global industrial production growth (as a gauge for global...
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Callum Thomas
Sep 21, 20161 min read
ChartBrief #4 Fed Dot Plot
A quick update on the equal weighted average Fed "Dot Plot" dot following the September FOMC announcement. This graph charts the average...
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Callum Thomas
Sep 21, 20161 min read
ChartBrief #3 Emerging Market PE Ratio
This ChartBrief looks at emerging market equity valuations. Earlier this week in the Tuesday Technicals I outlined the short-term bearish...
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Callum Thomas
Sep 20, 20161 min read
ChartBrief #2 - Junk Bonds and EM Debt
Today's ChartBrief looks at assets under management in the major US listed ETFs for US junk bonds and (hard dollar) emerging market...
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Callum Thomas
Sep 20, 20161 min read
ChartBrief #1 - Global Freight Rates
ChartBrief ...what's a ChartBrief? (you might be thinking) But then again, the name kind of says it all. ChartBrief is a new series or...
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