ChartBrief 65 - Global earnings accelerometer
With the swings in sentiment and price over the last couple of weeks it’s important to keep sight of some of the trends in the...
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Callum Thomas
Mar 20, 20172 min read
ChartBrief 63 - Rate hikes vs the market
Well it looks like the Fed’s rate hiking cycle is finally underway in earnest this time, with the March hike making the chart of interest...
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Callum Thomas
Mar 13, 20172 min read
ChartBrief 61 - S&P Sector Bubble Watch
With all the talk of market bubbles and comparisons to the year 2000 and the dot-com mania, it’s worth taking a look at an interesting...
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Callum Thomas
Mar 9, 20172 min read
ChartBrief 60 - Golden Crosses in Global Equities
Most of you will have heard the idea of a “golden cross” before (where the 50 day moving average goes above the 200 day moving average),...
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Callum Thomas
Feb 22, 20171 min read
ChartBrief 57 - An Annoying Chart
Sometimes you have great charts with powerful insights and clear, logical, actionable signals. Sometimes you have charts that although...
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Callum Thomas
Feb 16, 20171 min read
ChartBrief #56 - Seasons of the VIX
The CBOE VIX or volatility index has ground down to very low levels, and as noted in the recent S&P500 #ChartStorm a series of signals...
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Callum Thomas
Feb 14, 20171 min read
ChartBrief #55 - Inflation and Monetary Policy in China
China reported its January inflation numbers: CPI 2.5% y/y vs 2.4% expected, 2.1% previous, and PPI 6.9% y/y vs 6.6% consensus, 5.5% in...
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Callum Thomas
Feb 1, 20171 min read
ChartBrief #54 - China PMI Plateau
The January manufacturing PMI for China fell -0.1 to 51.3 and non-manufacturing PMI rose +0.1 to 54.6. In other words the rebound looks...
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Callum Thomas
Jan 31, 20171 min read
ChartBrief #53 - The Search For Yield
One of the buzz phrases of the post-crisis, low bond yields, QE world has been "the search for yield" and to be fair it has been a major...
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Callum Thomas
Jan 24, 20171 min read
ChartBrief #51 Global Flash PMI
The January round of flash manufacturing PMIs brought exactly what I was looking for - a continuation of the rebound that got underway in...
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Callum Thomas
Jan 21, 20172 min read
ChartBrief #49 Another look at volatility
This article takes an alternative view on volatility. Rather than the usual CBOE VIX - a volatility index derived from option pricing,...
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Callum Thomas
Jan 20, 20172 min read
ChartBrief #48 China GDP Data
As is tradition, China's National Bureau of Statistics releases almost all of their key economic data at once, so here's a quick run down...
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Topdown Charts
Jan 18, 20171 min read
ChartBrief #47 Eurozone inflation (surprise)
The European Central Bank meets today/tonight depending where you're reading! One thing that will be on their mind, whether they admit...
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Callum Thomas
Jan 18, 20172 min read
ChartBrief #46 Global inflation trends: Deflation vs Hyperinflation
With most countries having reported their December inflation numbers we can review a couple of interesting charts that track the...
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Callum Thomas
Jan 17, 20172 min read
ChartBrief #44 New Zealand stock market
Here's a couple of comments and charts on a market you may not have even thought about before. Before we dive into it, I should take the...
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Callum Thomas
Jan 16, 20171 min read
ChartBrief #42 European equity valuations
A Bloomberg article "Unloved European Stocks Poised to Become 'Pain Trade' of 2017" prompted me to review some of our European equity...
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Callum Thomas
Jan 16, 20171 min read
ChartBrief #41 Brexiteering the cable
With the latest rumblings of a "hard Brexit" hitting the wires the cable or GBPUSD has hit fresh lows. So I thought it would be worth...
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Callum Thomas
Jan 15, 20172 min read
ChartBrief #40 Bond futures positioning - is it really that extreme?
A number of websites e.g. Bloomberg, Zero Hedge, have been pointing to the extreme build up in short positioning in treasury futures by...
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Callum Thomas
Jan 12, 20172 min read
ChartBrief #39 Long Live the Bull Market - Half the World's Stock markets are now in a Bull Mark
Defining whether a benchmark or stock price is in a bull market or a bear market is not as straight forward as it might sound, there are...
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Callum Thomas
Jan 10, 20172 min read
ChartBrief #38 China Inflation - the Big Picture, the Big Beneficiary, and the Big Surprise
China just released its December inflation numbers: Consumer Price Index (CPI) 2.1% vs 2.2% expected and 2.3% previous, Producer Price...
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